Transparency Dashboard
Every metric. Every day. Published automatically.
Win Rate?Percentage of predictions that hit. Breakeven on standard -110 odds is 52.4%.
49.8%
vs 52.4% breakeven
ROI?Return on investment assuming flat $100 bets. Positive ROI means profit.
-5.6%
Brier Score?Accuracy of probability predictions. Ranges 0-1, lower is better. A coin flip scores 0.25.
0.2731
lower is better
ECE?Expected Calibration Error: how well predicted probabilities match actual outcomes. Lower is better. Perfect model = 0.
0.1391
lower is better
CLV Mean?Closing Line Value: how often we beat the closing line. Positive CLV means getting better prices than the market settles at.
+0.0078
positive = beating the close
Props Graded?Total number of prop predictions graded in this window.
2,096
Calibration Curve
Rolling CLV
Rolling ECE
Rolling Win Rate
Daily ROI
Segmented Performance
Daily Results Archive
| Date | Props | Win Rate | ROI | CLV Mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | 688 | 65.0% | +23.4% | +0.0078 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | 1408 | 42.4% | -19.7% | N/A |
Model Versions
Game Modelunknown
unregistered
Minutes Modelunknown
unregistered
Points Rateunknown
v2026.02.24-test123
Oct 1, 2023 – Feb 24, 2026
Rebounds Rateunknown
unregistered
Assists Rateunknown
unregistered
3PT Rateunknown
unregistered
Steals Rateunknown
unregistered
Blocks Rateunknown
unregistered
Turnovers Rateunknown
unregistered
Retrain Log
Feb 24, 2026active
v2026.02.24
Points RateRebounds RateAssists Rate3PT RateSteals RateBlocks RateTurnovers RateMinutes ModelGame Model
Trigger: scheduled